Option Trading Adjustments Based on VolatilityPosted at by ifydcat on category Finance
Within this article we’d like to discuss management tactics which can be beneficial in the organization of an options account. This important concept can be functional to each type of option spread such as the Condors, Calendars, Butterflies, Diagonals, and the rest.
Right now as we write this article in 2008, the VIX is at its higher range for the last couple of years, causing options to be expensive. So if making adjustments at the present time, each trader needs to check where volatility is and forecast where it is leading to. Should we really purchase expensive, inflated options, or should we sell them to somebody else? What is the most recent volatility forecast in today’s stock market?
Most option traders make the mistake of obtaining OTM Calls and Puts to change their portfolio at which time the volatility is moving down, and they don’t see why their options lose worth so quickly. Each retail option trader should comprehend how volatility affects an option strategy to create intellectual changes to their positions.
A TYPICAL OPTION POSITION THAT MIGHT NEED AN ADJUSTMENT
For instance, let’s say we are in an Iron Condor and the stock market is trending up near the short strike, and we are getting to the instant where we need to formulate an adjustment to supervise our possible danger. If this is the instance, subsequently the IV may possibly have dropped a small amount. We pull up the chart on volatility of the underlying, and we investigate the IV and see it is oversold and will soon rise again.
There are many option strategies and morphing concepts, so how can we make a good decision on what to do in this case? A critical step in the decision making is graphing the current volatility inside the options market. We usually use the VIX and RVX. Is the volatility bottomed and increasing? Is it at a peak and coming back down? Is it barely moving? What is happening in the options market and where is the volatility in relationship to its history? We additionally need to study the technical analysis of our traded asset. Where is the price headed? We have to comprehend Vega and the other option Greeks to accomplish high probability changes to our positions. In today’s example, if the volatility prediction is up, it would make sense to add some positive Vega to our portfolio.
There are many positive Vega option strategies, but some of the most common ones are Debit Spreads, Broken Wing Butterflies, Short Condors, Short Butterflies and Calendars. In our options mentoring course we cover them in great detail.
To summarize, when your option trades come to an adjustment point, always think about the IV of your asset. If you can make decisions based on volatility, direction, and time, then your option trading skills will be much better. It’s the little things like this that make a difference at the end of the year.
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